Now that the Bihar Election 2025 have completed, the most important question is: Who will form the government?
Voting for 243 seats was conducted in two stages this year, and the results of the exit polls are currently being eagerly watched throughout the state.
In Bihar politics, the information made public by agencies has caused a commotion. While some are criticizing the Grand Alliance’s difficulties, others are boasting about the NDA’s lead.
In this article, we examine the results of each agency, Tejashwi Yadav’s allegation of weakening, the reasons behind the NDA’s seeming strength, and whose candidate has grabbed the lead in which seat.
Did the women, OBC, and EBC vote banks give the NDA an edge?
Women, OBC, and EBC voters clearly had a significant impact on this Bihar election, according to the most recent exit poll data.
Data from multiple organisations indicates that these social strata strongly supported the NDA, making the fight one-sided.
Programs like the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana, Ujjwala Yojana, and Mukhyamantri Nari Samman Yojana are especially associated with the support of women.
In a similar vein, the vote bank has remained steady due to the NDA’s network and robust booth-level organizing among the OBC and EBC classes.
Though patterns show that these classes overwhelmingly favored the NDA, the Grand Alliance anticipated that issues of youth, unemployment, and inflation would create a favorable atmosphere for them. The NDA could easily form the government in 2025 if these tendencies continue.
Bihar Election 2025: Has Tejashwi Yadav’s claim weakened
During the election campaign, Tejashwi Yadav boldly declared that he will take the oath of office as Chief Minister on November 18.
However, this assertion has been undermined by the RJD’s and the Grand Alliance’s exit poll results. In seats where the RJD ought to have had an advantage, the NDA has narrowed the race.
Additionally, the Grand Alliance’s performance in the Seemanchal, Kosi, and Patna regions fell short of expectations.
Many political observers claim that the Grand Alliance’s vote share decreased in urban areas and that the RJD lost multiple seats as a result of AIMIM’s participation.
Important meeting of NDA at Nitish Kumar’s residence
A high-level NDA meeting was held at Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s residence in Patna, attended by several senior leaders, including Deputy Chief Minister Samrat Chaudhary.
This meeting is considered significant as it discussed the framework for government formation, seat sharing, and pre-election strategy.
Confidence is clearly visible within the NDA camp. Nitish Kumar had already indicated that “the NDA will form the government this time” and exit polls appear to be proving his statement correct.
बिहार चुनाव में भाजपा–एनडीए की ऐतिहासिक विजय पर हार्दिक बधाई एवं शुभकामनाएँ!
— Rajesh Dhakad (@RajeshDhakadngd) November 14, 2025
जनता का आशीर्वाद और विकास के प्रति विश्वास ने एक बार फिर नए इतिहास की रचना की है।
बिहार ने स्थिरता, प्रगति और सुशासन के मार्ग को चुना है।#BiharElection2025 #NDAVictory #BiharMandate #BJPUjjainGramin pic.twitter.com/TofN5tkv7z
Experts say that if the NDA reaches similar numbers as in 2010 or 2020, Nitish Kumar’s leadership will once again be established in Bihar. On the other hand, the Grand Alliance meetings are currently filled with concern, not enthusiasm.
Maheshwar Hazari wins Kalyanpur seat
The Kalyanpur Assembly constituency, one of the crucial 243 seats, has produced significant news. By a staggering 38,586 votes, JDU candidate Maheshwar Hazari defeated CPI(M) contender Ranjit Kumar Ram.
For JDU and the NDA as a whole, this victory is encouraging. The public granted the NDA candidate a historic victory in this election, despite the Grand Alliance’s longstanding strength in the Kalyanpur district.
Political analysts credit their local development efforts and ground connection for this victory. In this seat, Hazari’s appeal and JDU’s organizational structure were crucial.
AIMIM gets relief in trends, Grand Alliance votes dented
AIMIM, the party of Asaduddin Owaisi, is once again exhibiting promising tendencies in a number of seats. The Grand Alliance’s traditional vote bank has been affected by AIMIM’s influence, especially in Seemanchal and Muslim-majority districts.
Bihar politics are no longer as simple as they once were, as seen by AIMIM’s advantage in a few seats. Third-party influence is also starting to play a significant role.
AIMIM has the potential to alter the Grand Alliance’s calculations and impact outcomes in multiple seats if these patterns continue.
Disclaimer: All data and trends used in this report are based on reports from various media agencies and exit polls. The final decision and accurate information will depend only on the official results announced by the Election Commission.
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